For the Moore Pharmaceuticals model, suppose that analysts have made the following assumptions: R&D costs: Triangular($500, $700, $800) in millions of dollars Clinical trials costs: Triangular($135, $150, $160) in millions of dollars Market size: Normal(2,000,000, 250,000) Market share in year 1: Uniform(6%, 10%) All other data are considered constant. Develop and run a Crystal Ball model to forecast the NPV and cumulative net profit for each year. Summarize your results in a short memo to the R&D director.
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